Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.773499 2.049583 2.353104 2.711366 3.122529 3.579502 4.125806
2025-03-30 1.424692 1.794124 2.234692 2.798143 3.499031 4.341665 5.431290
2025-04-06 1.146261 1.556636 2.082190 2.803102 3.764915 5.002617 6.715312
2025-04-13 0.891553 1.296426 1.849439 2.657453 3.805430 5.375334 7.683044
2025-04-20 0.770785 1.191753 1.800895 2.742542 4.157371 6.199441 9.366083
2025-04-27 0.689748 1.127775 1.795723 2.882446 4.599974 7.202438 11.436875
2025-05-04 0.607379 1.046024 1.748228 2.946011 4.929477 8.072336 13.416800
2025-05-11 0.534044 0.965438 1.688049 2.976099 5.203426 8.881843 15.397409
2025-05-18 0.455055 0.861510 1.572294 2.893258 5.272996 9.359661 16.881869
2025-05-25 0.381402 0.754590 1.434519 2.749292 5.211720 9.599645 17.974995
2025-06-01 0.338850 0.698488 1.379202 2.744899 5.396451 10.285667 19.935904
2025-06-08 0.295663 0.634116 1.298741 2.680326 5.457154 10.748005 21.531655
2025-06-15 0.280111 0.624476 1.325400 2.833651 5.968664 12.134886 25.099420
2025-06-22 0.259999 0.602118 1.323414 2.928935 6.377629 13.374571 28.538225
2025-06-29 0.234473 0.563799 1.282642 2.936931 6.607028 14.283273 31.420311
2025-07-06 0.199926 0.499282 1.175923 2.786104 6.475921 14.432088 32.728899
2025-07-13 0.187222 0.484045 1.176713 2.876180 6.887208 15.778909 36.785716
2025-07-20 0.179338 0.479263 1.200790 3.023327 7.447158 17.515193 41.916575
2025-07-27 0.167181 0.461696 1.191904 3.090287 7.827758 18.893022 46.395411
2025-08-03 0.154304 0.440117 1.170041 3.122034 8.127250 20.118056 50.662563
2025-08-10 0.136949 0.403569 1.105115 3.035369 8.121779 20.621385 53.257108
2025-08-17 0.118859 0.361834 1.020454 2.884592 7.931657 20.651566 54.683438
2025-08-24 0.109050 0.342202 0.991947 2.880033 8.122270 21.647173 58.661372